Apple AAPL +2.94%
started selling the iPhone 6 and 6 Plus in 20 additional countries on
Friday. I checked a dozen of Apple’s websites (five of the original ten
countries launched on September 19 and seven of the new countries)
yesterday and today to see if the lead-times for the new countries that
were posted on Friday held since they were better than the ten countries that started selling the new iPhones on September 19.
Every few days I have been tracking the lead-times for Apple’s iPhone 6 and 6 Plus similar to what I did starting with the iPhone 4S. I do this via Apple’s websites, Verizon, AT&T T +0.57% and Sprint and three Vodafone sites and have created a Google GOOGL +0.41% Doc to keep track of all my lead-time observations.
iPhone 6 Plus lead-times now at 3-4 weeks worldwide
It looks like the 5-7 business day lead-times for the iPhone 6 Plus that were posted on the new countries websites Friday were more of a placeholder than an indication of supply. On Friday the lead-times for the 6 Plus on Apple’s Austria, Denmark, Finland, Italy and Spain websites went from 5-7 business days to 3-4 weeks. Turkey’s 6 Plus lead-times increased from 2-3 weeks to match the 3-4 weeks and Taiwan started at 3-4 weeks. The 3-4 week lead-times match what Apple’s US and UK websites (and I believe the other countries websites) have been since the day Apple launched the iPhone 6s on September 19.
iPhone 6 lead-times a bit better in the new countries
The lead-times for the iPhone 6 in the first wave countries have been at 7-10 business days since the first weekend. Five of Apple’s new country websites that I checked started the 6’s lead-times at 5-7 business days and have held at that on Saturday. Turkey’s lead-times started at 2-3 weeks and have also stayed the same. Taiwan’s are at 7-10 business days, which match the first wave countries.
Update on iPhone 6 vs. 6 Plus as a percentage of total iPhones in use
The iPhone 6 has seen a nice uptick as a percentage of total iPhones in use by both Fiksu and MixPanel starting on Friday when Apple started selling iPhone 6’s in the 20 additional countries. As can be seen in the difference in percentages (Fiksu has the iPhone 6 at 2.65% of iPhones in use and MixPanel at 4.13% on Saturday) there is a lot of variability to the data. While it may be useful to try and calculate how many iPhones Apple has sold based on it there are a number of variables that can lead to a wide range of results.
MixPanel’s and Fiksu’s data show similar results on the ratio of
iPhone 6s to 6 Plus’s in use. MixPanel has the percentage of 6’s in use
at 4.14% and 6 Plus’s at 0.71% for a ratio of 5.8. Fiksu’s has the
percentage of 6’s in use at 2.65% and 6 Plus’s at 0.54% for a ratio of
4.9x.
Every few days I have been tracking the lead-times for Apple’s iPhone 6 and 6 Plus similar to what I did starting with the iPhone 4S. I do this via Apple’s websites, Verizon, AT&T T +0.57% and Sprint and three Vodafone sites and have created a Google GOOGL +0.41% Doc to keep track of all my lead-time observations.
iPhone 6 Plus lead-times now at 3-4 weeks worldwide
It looks like the 5-7 business day lead-times for the iPhone 6 Plus that were posted on the new countries websites Friday were more of a placeholder than an indication of supply. On Friday the lead-times for the 6 Plus on Apple’s Austria, Denmark, Finland, Italy and Spain websites went from 5-7 business days to 3-4 weeks. Turkey’s 6 Plus lead-times increased from 2-3 weeks to match the 3-4 weeks and Taiwan started at 3-4 weeks. The 3-4 week lead-times match what Apple’s US and UK websites (and I believe the other countries websites) have been since the day Apple launched the iPhone 6s on September 19.
iPhone 6 lead-times a bit better in the new countries
The lead-times for the iPhone 6 in the first wave countries have been at 7-10 business days since the first weekend. Five of Apple’s new country websites that I checked started the 6’s lead-times at 5-7 business days and have held at that on Saturday. Turkey’s lead-times started at 2-3 weeks and have also stayed the same. Taiwan’s are at 7-10 business days, which match the first wave countries.
Update on iPhone 6 vs. 6 Plus as a percentage of total iPhones in use
The iPhone 6 has seen a nice uptick as a percentage of total iPhones in use by both Fiksu and MixPanel starting on Friday when Apple started selling iPhone 6’s in the 20 additional countries. As can be seen in the difference in percentages (Fiksu has the iPhone 6 at 2.65% of iPhones in use and MixPanel at 4.13% on Saturday) there is a lot of variability to the data. While it may be useful to try and calculate how many iPhones Apple has sold based on it there are a number of variables that can lead to a wide range of results.
Source: Fiksu
Source: MixPanel
Follow me on Twitter @sandhillinsight. You can find my other Forbes posts here.
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I ordered my 6 Plus on Sept 19 and was told to expect 3-4 weeks until delivery. Phone actually shipped from China on 9/26, with UPS expected delivery on 10/2.
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- AuthorThanks for the info.
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- AuthorDid you order it directly from Apple or a carrier? Thanks
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iPhone 6 Plus 128GB Space Gray was ordered through the Apple Store at about 4am, Pacific Time, on 9/19, after several hours of not being able to access the site.
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- AuthorThanks. While only 1 iPhone it is still good to see a Plus delivered in 2 weeks.
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I still saw a line (admittedly muted) standing outside the Know Street Store in Dallas past noon today (9/27). I assume that the Store employees are told to let folks go if “their phone” is not available. And I don’t hesitate to add that it is still hot in Texas, so waiting outside the store in the open air is not for the light-hearted iPhan.
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- AuthorAt the Palo Alto store the people that are waiting in line either have a reserved iPhone or the one they want is in stock in the store. The number of people inside the store is being managed so they have to wait their turn outside to pick it up.
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